Atalantavs
BeneventoAtalanta 2-0 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2020-2021Wed, 12 May 2021 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta77%
- Atalanta 77%
- Draw 16%
- Benevento 7%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta, rating it at 76.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Atalanta won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 76.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Atalanta's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Atalanta: WWWDW
Benevento: DLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-12 | Atalanta vs Benevento | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-09 | Benevento vs Atalanta | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta vs Benevento?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atalanta vs Benevento kick off?
- Wed, 12 May 2021 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
- What is the Atalanta vs Benevento head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.