Beneventovs
BolognaBenevento 1-0 Bologna — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2020-2021Sun, 04 Oct 2020 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bologna51%
- Benevento 25%
- Draw 24%
- Bologna 51%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bologna, rating it at 51.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Bologna's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Benevento: DLLWD
Bologna: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-12 | Bologna vs Benevento | 1–1 |
| 2020-10-04 | Benevento vs Bologna | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Benevento vs Bologna?
- Tofiko's model favours Bologna (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Benevento vs Bologna kick off?
- Sun, 04 Oct 2020 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
- What is the Benevento vs Bologna head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.