Beneventovs
FiorentinaBenevento 1-4 Fiorentina — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2020-2021Sat, 13 Mar 2021 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Fiorentina53%
- Benevento 24%
- Draw 23%
- Fiorentina 53%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Fiorentina, rating it at 52.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Benevento won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Benevento: DLLWD
Fiorentina: LLWDD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | ACF Fiorentina vs Benevento | 4–1 |
| 2021-03-13 | Benevento vs Fiorentina | 1–4 |
| 2020-11-22 | Fiorentina vs Benevento | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Benevento vs Fiorentina?
- Tofiko's model favours Fiorentina (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Benevento vs Fiorentina kick off?
- Sat, 13 Mar 2021 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
- What is the Benevento vs Fiorentina head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.