Benevento crestBeneventovsInter Milan crestInter Milan

Benevento 2-5 Inter Milan — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2020-2021Wed, 30 Sep 2020 15:59 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Milan75%

  • Benevento 8%
  • Draw 17%
  • Inter Milan 75%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 74.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 74.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Inter Milan's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 16.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Benevento: DLLWD

Inter Milan: WWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 5.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-01-30Inter Milan vs Benevento4–0
2020-09-30Benevento vs Inter Milan2–5

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FAQ

Who will win Benevento vs Inter Milan?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Benevento vs Inter Milan kick off?
Wed, 30 Sep 2020 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
What is the Benevento vs Inter Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legInter 4-0 Benevento30 Jan 2021 →