Benevento crestBeneventovsParma Calcio 1913 crestParma Calcio 1913

Benevento 2-2 Parma Calcio 1913 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2022-2023Mon, 01 May 2023 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Parma Calcio 191340%

  • Benevento 35%
  • Draw 25%
  • Parma Calcio 1913 40%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Parma Calcio 1913, rating it at 39.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Benevento won 1 of 6, with 4 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Parma Calcio 1913's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Benevento: DLLWD

Parma Calcio 1913: LLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-05-01Benevento vs Parma Calcio 19132–2
2022-12-08Parma Calcio 1913 vs Benevento0–1
2022-02-05Benevento vs Parma Calcio 19130–0
2021-08-29Parma Calcio 1913 vs Benevento1–0
2021-04-03Benevento vs Parma Calcio 19132–2
2020-12-06Parma Calcio 1913 vs Benevento0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Benevento vs Parma Calcio 1913?
Tofiko's model favours Parma Calcio 1913 (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Benevento vs Parma Calcio 1913 kick off?
Mon, 01 May 2023 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
What is the Benevento vs Parma Calcio 1913 head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

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