Benevento crestBeneventovsSampdoria crestSampdoria

Benevento 1-1 Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2020-2021Sun, 07 Feb 2021 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Benevento43%

  • Benevento 43%
  • Draw 25%
  • Sampdoria 32%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Benevento, rating it at 42.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Sampdoria's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Benevento: DLLWD

Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-02-07Benevento vs Sampdoria1–1
2020-09-26Sampdoria vs Benevento2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Benevento vs Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours Benevento (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Benevento vs Sampdoria kick off?
Sun, 07 Feb 2021 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
What is the Benevento vs Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legSampdoria 2-3 Benevento26 Sept 2020 →