Benevento crestBeneventovsTorino crestTorino

Benevento 2-2 Torino — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2020-2021Fri, 22 Jan 2021 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Torino45%

  • Benevento 30%
  • Draw 25%
  • Torino 45%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Torino, rating it at 44.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Torino's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Benevento: DLLWD

Torino: LLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2021-05-23Torino vs Benevento1–1
2021-01-22Benevento vs Torino2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Benevento vs Torino?
Tofiko's model favours Torino (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Benevento vs Torino kick off?
Fri, 22 Jan 2021 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
What is the Benevento vs Torino head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legTorino 1-1 Benevento23 May 2021 →