Beneventovs
UdineseBenevento 2-4 Udinese — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2020-2021Sun, 25 Apr 2021 10:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Udinese46%
- Benevento 30%
- Draw 25%
- Udinese 46%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Udinese, rating it at 45.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Benevento won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Udinese's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Benevento: DLLWD
Udinese: WWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-25 | Benevento vs Udinese | 2–4 |
| 2020-12-23 | Udinese vs Benevento | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Benevento vs Udinese?
- Tofiko's model favours Udinese (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Benevento vs Udinese kick off?
- Sun, 25 Apr 2021 10:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
- What is the Benevento vs Udinese head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.