Sampdoria crestSampdoriavsBologna crestBologna

Sampdoria 1-2 Bologna — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sat, 18 Feb 2023 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bologna49%

  • Sampdoria 27%
  • Draw 24%
  • Bologna 49%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bologna, rating it at 48.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Sampdoria won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Sampdoria: LDLWL

Bologna: LLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.83Avg goals
  • 83%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-02-18Sampdoria vs Bologna1–2
2022-10-08Bologna vs Sampdoria1–1
2022-04-11Bologna vs Sampdoria2–0
2021-11-07Sampdoria vs Bologna1–2
2021-03-14Bologna vs Sampdoria3–1
2020-11-22Sampdoria vs Bologna1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sampdoria vs Bologna?
Tofiko's model favours Bologna (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sampdoria vs Bologna kick off?
Sat, 18 Feb 2023 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
What is the Sampdoria vs Bologna head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.

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