Bolognavs
SpeziaBologna 2-0 Spezia — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Fri, 27 Jan 2023 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bologna67%
- Bologna 67%
- Draw 21%
- Spezia 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bologna, rating it at 66.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Bologna won 4 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Bologna: LLLLW
Spezia: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.17Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-27 | Bologna vs Spezia | 2–0 |
| 2022-09-04 | Spezia vs Bologna | 2–2 |
| 2022-02-21 | Bologna vs Spezia | 2–1 |
| 2021-11-28 | Spezia vs Bologna | 0–1 |
| 2021-04-18 | Bologna vs Spezia | 4–1 |
| 2020-12-16 | Spezia vs Bologna | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bologna vs Spezia?
- Tofiko's model favours Bologna (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bologna vs Spezia kick off?
- Fri, 27 Jan 2023 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Bologna vs Spezia head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.