Cagliarivs
BeneventoCagliari 1-0 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 11 Feb 2023 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cagliari53%
- Cagliari 53%
- Draw 24%
- Benevento 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cagliari, rating it at 53.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Cagliari won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Cagliari's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Cagliari: LLWWD
Benevento: DLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-11 | Cagliari vs Benevento | 1–0 |
| 2022-09-10 | Benevento vs Cagliari | 0–2 |
| 2021-05-09 | Benevento vs Cagliari | 1–3 |
| 2021-01-06 | Cagliari vs Benevento | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Cagliari vs Benevento?
- Tofiko's model favours Cagliari (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cagliari vs Benevento kick off?
- Sat, 11 Feb 2023 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Cagliari vs Benevento head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.