A.C. Monzavs
CremoneseA.C. Monza 1-1 Cremonese — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sat, 18 Mar 2023 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs A.C. Monza50%
- A.C. Monza 50%
- Draw 26%
- Cremonese 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick A.C. Monza, rating it at 50.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and A.C. Monza won 4 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. A.C. Monza's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Cremonese's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- A.C. Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
A.C. Monza: WLLWD
Cremonese: WLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-18 | A.C. Monza vs Cremonese | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-14 | Cremonese vs A.C. Monza | 2–3 |
| 2022-02-06 | Cremonese vs A.C. Monza | 3–2 |
| 2021-08-29 | A.C. Monza vs Cremonese | 1–0 |
| 2021-04-17 | A.C. Monza vs Cremonese | 2–1 |
| 2020-12-27 | Cremonese vs A.C. Monza | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win A.C. Monza vs Cremonese?
- Tofiko's model favours A.C. Monza (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does A.C. Monza vs Cremonese kick off?
- Sat, 18 Mar 2023 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the A.C. Monza vs Cremonese head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.