Inter Milan crestInter MilanvsEmpoli FC crestEmpoli FC

Inter Milan 3-1 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sun, 19 Jan 2025 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Milan79%

  • Inter Milan 79%
  • Draw 16%
  • Empoli FC 5%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 79.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Inter Milan won 7 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 15.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Inter Milan: WWWWD

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-01-19Inter Milan vs Empoli FC3–1
2024-10-30Empoli FC vs Inter Milan0–3
2024-04-01Inter Milan vs Empoli2–0
2023-09-24Empoli vs Inter Milan0–1
2023-04-23Empoli vs Inter Milan0–3
2023-01-23Inter Milan vs Empoli0–1
2022-05-06Inter Milan vs Empoli4–2
2021-10-27Empoli vs Inter Milan0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Inter Milan vs Empoli FC?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Inter Milan vs Empoli FC kick off?
Sun, 19 Jan 2025 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Inter Milan vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

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