Beneventovs
GenoaBenevento 1-2 Genoa — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 21 Jan 2023 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Genoa44%
- Benevento 31%
- Draw 26%
- Genoa 44%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Genoa, rating it at 43.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Benevento won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Benevento: DLLWD
Genoa: LLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-21 | Benevento vs Genoa | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | Genoa vs Benevento | 0–0 |
| 2021-04-21 | Genoa vs Benevento | 2–2 |
| 2020-12-20 | Benevento vs Genoa | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Benevento vs Genoa?
- Tofiko's model favours Genoa (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Benevento vs Genoa kick off?
- Sat, 21 Jan 2023 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Benevento vs Genoa head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.