Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsHellas Verona FC crestHellas Verona FC

Empoli FC 1-2 Hellas Verona FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sun, 25 May 2025 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Empoli FC43%

  • Empoli FC 43%
  • Draw 25%
  • Hellas Verona FC 31%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Empoli FC, rating it at 43.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Empoli FC won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Hellas Verona FC: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.63Avg goals
  • 88%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-25Empoli FC vs Hellas Verona FC1–2
2024-12-08Hellas Verona FC vs Empoli FC1–4
2024-01-13Hellas Verona vs Empoli2–1
2023-08-19Empoli vs Hellas Verona0–1
2023-05-28Hellas Verona vs Empoli1–1
2022-08-31Empoli vs Hellas Verona1–1
2022-03-20Empoli vs Hellas Verona1–1
2021-11-22Hellas Verona vs Empoli2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs Hellas Verona FC?
Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli FC vs Hellas Verona FC kick off?
Sun, 25 May 2025 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Empoli FC vs Hellas Verona FC head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.

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