Spezia crestSpeziavsHellas Verona crestHellas Verona

Spezia 0-0 Hellas Verona — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 05 Mar 2023 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Hellas Verona38%

  • Spezia 36%
  • Draw 25%
  • Hellas Verona 38%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Hellas Verona, rating it at 38.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Spezia won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Spezia: WWDWD

Hellas Verona: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.17Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-03-05Spezia vs Hellas Verona0–0
2022-11-13Hellas Verona vs Spezia1–2
2022-01-06Spezia vs Hellas Verona1–2
2021-10-03Hellas Verona vs Spezia4–0
2021-05-01Hellas Verona vs Spezia1–1
2021-01-03Spezia vs Hellas Verona0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Spezia vs Hellas Verona?
Tofiko's model favours Hellas Verona (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Spezia vs Hellas Verona kick off?
Sun, 05 Mar 2023 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
What is the Spezia vs Hellas Verona head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.17 goals per game.

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