Speziavs
Inter MilanSpezia 2-1 Inter Milan — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Fri, 10 Mar 2023 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Milan76%
- Spezia 8%
- Draw 16%
- Inter Milan 76%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 76.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Spezia won 1 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 16.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Spezia: WWDWD
Inter Milan: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.83Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-10 | Spezia vs Inter Milan | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-20 | Inter Milan vs Spezia | 3–0 |
| 2022-04-15 | Spezia vs Inter Milan | 1–3 |
| 2021-12-01 | Inter Milan vs Spezia | 2–0 |
| 2021-04-21 | Spezia vs Inter Milan | 1–1 |
| 2020-12-20 | Inter Milan vs Spezia | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Spezia vs Inter Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia vs Inter Milan kick off?
- Fri, 10 Mar 2023 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Spezia vs Inter Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.