Laziovs
BeneventoLazio 5-3 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2020-2021Sun, 18 Apr 2021 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lazio71%
- Lazio 71%
- Draw 19%
- Benevento 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lazio, rating it at 71.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Lazio won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 71.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Lazio's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Lazio: WWLWW
Benevento: DLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-18 | Lazio vs Benevento | 5–3 |
| 2020-12-15 | Benevento vs Lazio | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Lazio vs Benevento?
- Tofiko's model favours Lazio (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lazio vs Benevento kick off?
- Sun, 18 Apr 2021 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
- What is the Lazio vs Benevento head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.