Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsSS Lazio crestSS Lazio

Empoli FC 0-1 SS Lazio — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sun, 04 May 2025 10:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SS Lazio53%

  • Empoli FC 23%
  • Draw 24%
  • SS Lazio 53%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SS Lazio, rating it at 53.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Empoli FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

SS Lazio: WWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-04Empoli FC vs SS Lazio0–1
2024-10-06SS Lazio vs Empoli FC2–1
2024-05-12Lazio vs Empoli2–0
2023-12-22Empoli vs Lazio0–2
2023-06-03Empoli vs Lazio0–2
2023-01-08Lazio vs Empoli2–2
2022-01-06Lazio vs Empoli3–3
2021-08-21Empoli vs Lazio1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs SS Lazio?
Tofiko's model favours SS Lazio (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli FC vs SS Lazio kick off?
Sun, 04 May 2025 10:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Empoli FC vs SS Lazio head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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