Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsUS Lecce crestUS Lecce

Empoli FC 1-3 US Lecce — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sat, 11 Jan 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Empoli FC40%

  • Empoli FC 40%
  • Draw 26%
  • US Lecce 34%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Empoli FC, rating it at 40.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Empoli FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

US Lecce: LWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.38Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-01-11Empoli FC vs US Lecce1–3
2024-11-08US Lecce vs Empoli FC1–1
2024-04-13Lecce vs Empoli1–0
2023-12-11Empoli vs Lecce1–1
2023-04-03Empoli vs Lecce1–0
2022-08-28Lecce vs Empoli1–1
2021-05-10Empoli vs Lecce2–1
2021-01-24Lecce vs Empoli2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs US Lecce?
Tofiko's model favours Empoli FC (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli FC vs US Lecce kick off?
Sat, 11 Jan 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Empoli FC vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.

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