Leccevs
SampdoriaLecce 1-1 Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 16 Apr 2023 10:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lecce51%
- Lecce 51%
- Draw 25%
- Sampdoria 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lecce, rating it at 50.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Lecce won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Lecce: LWLWW
Sampdoria: LDLWL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-16 | Lecce vs Sampdoria | 1–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Sampdoria vs Lecce | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Lecce vs Sampdoria?
- Tofiko's model favours Lecce (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lecce vs Sampdoria kick off?
- Sun, 16 Apr 2023 10:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Lecce vs Sampdoria head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.