AS Romavs
SampdoriaAS Roma 3-0 Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 02 Apr 2023 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma71%
- AS Roma 71%
- Draw 19%
- Sampdoria 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 71.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AS Roma won 4 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Roma's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Sampdoria's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
AS Roma: WWDLW
Sampdoria: LDLWL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 17%Both scored
- 17%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-02 | AS Roma vs Sampdoria | 3–0 |
| 2022-10-17 | Sampdoria vs AS Roma | 0–1 |
| 2022-04-03 | Sampdoria vs AS Roma | 0–1 |
| 2021-12-22 | AS Roma vs Sampdoria | 1–1 |
| 2021-05-02 | Sampdoria vs AS Roma | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-03 | AS Roma vs Sampdoria | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs Sampdoria?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Roma vs Sampdoria kick off?
- Sun, 02 Apr 2023 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the AS Roma vs Sampdoria head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.