Atalanta crestAtalantavsSampdoria crestSampdoria

Atalanta 2-0 Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sat, 28 Jan 2023 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atalanta75%

  • Atalanta 75%
  • Draw 16%
  • Sampdoria 8%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta, rating it at 75.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Atalanta won 5 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 16.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Atalanta: WWWDW

Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-01-28Atalanta vs Sampdoria2–0
2022-08-13Sampdoria vs Atalanta0–2
2022-02-28Atalanta vs Sampdoria4–0
2021-10-27Sampdoria vs Atalanta1–3
2021-02-28Sampdoria vs Atalanta0–2
2020-10-24Atalanta vs Sampdoria1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Atalanta vs Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atalanta vs Sampdoria kick off?
Sat, 28 Jan 2023 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
What is the Atalanta vs Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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