Sampdoria crestSampdoriavsCagliari crestCagliari

Sampdoria 1-2 Cagliari — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2021-2022Thu, 06 Jan 2022 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sampdoria39%

  • Sampdoria 39%
  • Draw 25%
  • Cagliari 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sampdoria, rating it at 38.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and Sampdoria won none of them. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Sampdoria: LDLWL

Cagliari: DLWWD

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-23UC Sampdoria vs Cagliari Calcio0–0
2022-01-06Sampdoria vs Cagliari1–2
2021-10-17Cagliari vs Sampdoria3–1
2021-03-07Sampdoria vs Cagliari2–2
2020-11-07Cagliari vs Sampdoria2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Sampdoria vs Cagliari?
Tofiko's model favours Sampdoria (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sampdoria vs Cagliari kick off?
Thu, 06 Jan 2022 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2021-2022.
What is the Sampdoria vs Cagliari head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

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