Fiorentinavs
SampdoriaFiorentina 5-0 Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 30 Apr 2023 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Fiorentina65%
- Fiorentina 65%
- Draw 21%
- Sampdoria 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Fiorentina, rating it at 64.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Fiorentina won 3 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Fiorentina: LLWDD
Sampdoria: LDLWL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-30 | Fiorentina vs Sampdoria | 5–0 |
| 2022-11-06 | Sampdoria vs Fiorentina | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-16 | Sampdoria vs Fiorentina | 4–1 |
| 2021-11-30 | Fiorentina vs Sampdoria | 3–1 |
| 2021-02-14 | Sampdoria vs Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2020-10-02 | Fiorentina vs Sampdoria | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Fiorentina vs Sampdoria?
- Tofiko's model favours Fiorentina (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Fiorentina vs Sampdoria kick off?
- Sun, 30 Apr 2023 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Fiorentina vs Sampdoria head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.