Sampdoriavs
GenoaSampdoria 1-0 Genoa — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2021-2022Sat, 30 Apr 2022 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Genoa41%
- Sampdoria 33%
- Draw 26%
- Genoa 41%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Genoa, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Sampdoria won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Genoa's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Sampdoria's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 26.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Genoa's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Sampdoria: LDLWL
Genoa: LLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-30 | Sampdoria vs Genoa | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-10 | Genoa vs Sampdoria | 1–3 |
| 2021-03-03 | Genoa vs Sampdoria | 1–1 |
| 2020-11-01 | Sampdoria vs Genoa | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sampdoria vs Genoa?
- Tofiko's model favours Genoa (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sampdoria vs Genoa kick off?
- Sat, 30 Apr 2022 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A 2021-2022.
- What is the Sampdoria vs Genoa head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.