Sampdoria crestSampdoriavsHellas Verona crestHellas Verona

Sampdoria 3-1 Hellas Verona — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 19 Mar 2023 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sampdoria41%

  • Sampdoria 41%
  • Draw 25%
  • Hellas Verona 34%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sampdoria, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Sampdoria won 4 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Sampdoria: LDLWL

Hellas Verona: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 83%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-03-19Sampdoria vs Hellas Verona3–1
2022-09-04Hellas Verona vs Sampdoria2–1
2022-04-23Hellas Verona vs Sampdoria1–1
2021-11-27Sampdoria vs Hellas Verona3–1
2021-04-17Sampdoria vs Hellas Verona3–1
2020-12-16Hellas Verona vs Sampdoria1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sampdoria vs Hellas Verona?
Tofiko's model favours Sampdoria (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Sampdoria vs Hellas Verona kick off?
Sun, 19 Mar 2023 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
What is the Sampdoria vs Hellas Verona head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

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