UC Sampdoriavs
AC MonzaUC Sampdoria vs AC Monza Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie BFri, 17 Apr 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: UC Sampdoria 0–3 AC Monza
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza40%
- UC Sampdoria 34%
- Draw 26%
- AC Monza 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 40.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UC Sampdoria won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. UC Sampdoria's 5 produced 4, at 0.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
UC Sampdoria: DWLWD
AC Monza: LWWLW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | UC Sampdoria vs AC Monza | 0–3 |
| 2025-09-20 | AC Monza vs UC Sampdoria | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-06 | A.C. Monza vs Sampdoria | 2–2 |
| 2022-10-02 | Sampdoria vs A.C. Monza | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UC Sampdoria vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UC Sampdoria vs AC Monza kick off?
- Fri, 17 Apr 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the UC Sampdoria vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.