Napoli crestNapolivsSampdoria crestSampdoria

Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 04 Jun 2023 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Napoli77%

  • Napoli 77%
  • Draw 16%
  • Sampdoria 6%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Napoli, rating it at 77.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Napoli won all of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 16.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Napoli: LWWDW

Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 17%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-06-04Napoli vs Sampdoria2–0
2023-01-08Sampdoria vs Napoli0–2
2022-01-09Napoli vs Sampdoria1–0
2021-09-23Sampdoria vs Napoli0–4
2021-04-11Sampdoria vs Napoli0–2
2020-12-13Napoli vs Sampdoria2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Napoli vs Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours Napoli (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Napoli vs Sampdoria kick off?
Sun, 04 Jun 2023 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
What is the Napoli vs Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

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