Udinese crestUdinesevsSampdoria crestSampdoria

Udinese 2-0 Sampdoria — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2022-2023Mon, 08 May 2023 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Udinese58%

  • Udinese 58%
  • Draw 23%
  • Sampdoria 19%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Udinese, rating it at 57.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Udinese won 3 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Udinese: WWDWW

Sampdoria: LDLWL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-05-08Udinese vs Sampdoria2–0
2023-01-22Sampdoria vs Udinese0–1
2022-03-05Udinese vs Sampdoria2–1
2021-10-03Sampdoria vs Udinese3–3
2021-05-16Udinese vs Sampdoria0–1
2021-01-16Sampdoria vs Udinese2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Udinese vs Sampdoria?
Tofiko's model favours Udinese (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Udinese vs Sampdoria kick off?
Mon, 08 May 2023 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
What is the Udinese vs Sampdoria head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

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