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UC Sampdoria crestUC SampdoriavsVenezia FC crestVenezia FC

UC Sampdoria vs Venezia FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie BSat, 14 Mar 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: UC Sampdoria 00 Venezia FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Venezia FC41%

UC Sampdoria 34%
Draw 25%
Venezia FC 41%
  • UC Sampdoria 34%
  • Draw 25%
  • Venezia FC 41%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Venezia FC, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and UC Sampdoria won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Venezia FC's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. UC Sampdoria's 5 produced 4, at 0.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Venezia FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

UC Sampdoria: DWLWD

Venezia FC: LWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14UC Sampdoria vs Venezia FC0–0
2025-11-08Venezia FC vs UC Sampdoria3–1
2024-01-14Venezia F.C. vs Sampdoria5–3
2023-08-30Sampdoria vs Venezia F.C.1–2
2022-03-20Venezia F.C. vs Sampdoria0–2
2021-12-19Sampdoria vs Venezia F.C.1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win UC Sampdoria vs Venezia FC?
Tofiko's model favours Venezia FC (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does UC Sampdoria vs Venezia FC kick off?
Sat, 14 Mar 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the UC Sampdoria vs Venezia FC head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

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