US Sassuolo Calcio crestUS Sassuolo CalciovsEmpoli crestEmpoli

US Sassuolo Calcio 2-3 Empoli — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2023-2024Sat, 24 Feb 2024 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Sassuolo Calcio56%

  • US Sassuolo Calcio 56%
  • Draw 23%
  • Empoli 21%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Sassuolo Calcio, rating it at 56.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and US Sassuolo Calcio won 3 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

US Sassuolo Calcio: DWLWL

Empoli: LWDDD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 4.17Avg goals
  • 83%Both scored
  • 83%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-02-24US Sassuolo Calcio vs Empoli2–3
2023-11-26Empoli vs US Sassuolo Calcio3–4
2023-04-30US Sassuolo Calcio vs Empoli2–1
2022-11-05Empoli vs US Sassuolo Calcio1–0
2022-01-09Empoli vs US Sassuolo Calcio1–5
2021-10-31US Sassuolo Calcio vs Empoli1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win US Sassuolo Calcio vs Empoli?
Tofiko's model favours US Sassuolo Calcio (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Sassuolo Calcio vs Empoli kick off?
Sat, 24 Feb 2024 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2023-2024.
What is the US Sassuolo Calcio vs Empoli head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 4.17 goals per game.

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