Sampdoria crestSampdoriavsUS Sassuolo Calcio crestUS Sassuolo Calcio

Sampdoria 2-2 US Sassuolo Calcio — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2022-2023Fri, 26 May 2023 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Sassuolo Calcio44%

  • Sampdoria 33%
  • Draw 23%
  • US Sassuolo Calcio 44%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Sassuolo Calcio, rating it at 44.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Sampdoria won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Sampdoria: LDLWL

US Sassuolo Calcio: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.83Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-05-26Sampdoria vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
2023-01-04US Sassuolo Calcio vs Sampdoria1–2
2022-02-06Sampdoria vs US Sassuolo Calcio4–0
2021-08-29US Sassuolo Calcio vs Sampdoria0–0
2021-04-24US Sassuolo Calcio vs Sampdoria1–0
2020-12-23Sampdoria vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–3

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FAQ

Who will win Sampdoria vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours US Sassuolo Calcio (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sampdoria vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
Fri, 26 May 2023 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
What is the Sampdoria vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.

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