AS Romavs
SpeziaAS Roma 2-1 Spezia — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 04 Jun 2023 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma74%
- AS Roma 74%
- Draw 18%
- Spezia 8%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 74.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AS Roma won 5 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
AS Roma: WWDLW
Spezia: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.17Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-04 | AS Roma vs Spezia | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-22 | Spezia vs AS Roma | 0–2 |
| 2022-02-27 | Spezia vs AS Roma | 0–1 |
| 2021-12-13 | AS Roma vs Spezia | 2–0 |
| 2021-05-23 | Spezia vs AS Roma | 2–2 |
| 2021-01-23 | AS Roma vs Spezia | 4–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs Spezia?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Roma vs Spezia kick off?
- Sun, 04 Jun 2023 19:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the AS Roma vs Spezia head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.