Spezia crestSpeziavsAtalanta crestAtalanta

Spezia 2-2 Atalanta — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2022-2023Wed, 04 Jan 2023 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atalanta68%

Tofiko14% / 19% / 68%
Market20% / 24% / 57%
  • Spezia
  • Draw
  • Atalanta

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta, rating it at 67.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Spezia won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Spezia: WWWWW

Atalanta: LLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 83%Both scored
  • 83%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-05-03Atalanta vs Spezia3–2
2023-01-04Spezia vs Atalanta2–2
2022-05-08Spezia vs Atalanta1–3
2021-11-20Atalanta vs Spezia5–2
2021-03-12Atalanta vs Spezia3–1
2020-11-21Spezia(N) vs Atalanta0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Spezia vs Atalanta?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Spezia vs Atalanta kick off?
Wed, 04 Jan 2023 13:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
What is the Spezia vs Atalanta head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legAtalanta 3-2 Spezia3 May 2023 →