Atalantavs
SpeziaAtalanta 3-2 Spezia — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Wed, 03 May 2023 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta78%
- Atalanta 78%
- Draw 15%
- Spezia 6%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta, rating it at 78.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Atalanta won 4 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 15.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Atalanta: WWWDW
Spezia: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 83%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-03 | Atalanta vs Spezia | 3–2 |
| 2023-01-04 | Spezia vs Atalanta | 2–2 |
| 2022-05-08 | Spezia vs Atalanta | 1–3 |
| 2021-11-20 | Atalanta vs Spezia | 5–2 |
| 2021-03-12 | Atalanta vs Spezia | 3–1 |
| 2020-11-21 | Spezia(N) vs Atalanta | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta vs Spezia?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atalanta vs Spezia kick off?
- Wed, 03 May 2023 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Atalanta vs Spezia head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.