Speziavs
BeneventoSpezia 1-1 Benevento — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2020-2021Sat, 06 Mar 2021 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Spezia43%
- Spezia 43%
- Draw 25%
- Benevento 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Spezia, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Spezia won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Benevento's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Spezia's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 4 Sep 2026.
Spezia: WWDWD
Benevento: DLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 4 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-06 | Spezia vs Benevento | 1–1 |
| 2020-11-07 | Benevento vs Spezia | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Spezia vs Benevento?
- Tofiko's model favours Spezia (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia vs Benevento kick off?
- Sat, 06 Mar 2021 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2020-2021.
- What is the Spezia vs Benevento head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.