Speziavs
CagliariSpezia 2-0 Cagliari — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2021-2022Sat, 12 Mar 2022 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cagliari40%
- Spezia 34%
- Draw 25%
- Cagliari 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cagliari, rating it at 40.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Spezia won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Spezia: WWDWD
Cagliari: DLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-12 | Spezia vs Cagliari | 2–0 |
| 2021-08-23 | Cagliari vs Spezia | 2–2 |
| 2021-03-20 | Spezia vs Cagliari | 2–1 |
| 2020-11-29 | Cagliari vs Spezia | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Spezia vs Cagliari?
- Tofiko's model favours Cagliari (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia vs Cagliari kick off?
- Sat, 12 Mar 2022 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2021-2022.
- What is the Spezia vs Cagliari head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.