Fiorentinavs
SpeziaFiorentina 1-1 Spezia — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sat, 08 Apr 2023 12:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Fiorentina68%
- Fiorentina 68%
- Draw 20%
- Spezia 12%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Fiorentina, rating it at 68.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Fiorentina won 4 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Fiorentina: LLWDD
Spezia: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-08 | Fiorentina vs Spezia | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Spezia vs Fiorentina | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-14 | Spezia vs Fiorentina | 1–2 |
| 2021-10-31 | Fiorentina vs Spezia | 3–0 |
| 2021-02-19 | Fiorentina vs Spezia | 3–0 |
| 2020-10-18 | Spezia(N) vs Fiorentina | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Fiorentina vs Spezia?
- Tofiko's model favours Fiorentina (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Fiorentina vs Spezia kick off?
- Sat, 08 Apr 2023 12:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Fiorentina vs Spezia head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.