Speziavs
LazioSpezia 0-3 Lazio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Fri, 14 Apr 2023 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lazio61%
- Spezia 18%
- Draw 22%
- Lazio 61%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lazio, rating it at 60.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Spezia won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Spezia: WWDWD
Lazio: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-14 | Spezia vs Lazio | 0–3 |
| 2022-10-02 | Lazio vs Spezia | 4–0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Spezia vs Lazio | 3–4 |
| 2021-08-28 | Lazio vs Spezia | 6–1 |
| 2021-04-03 | Lazio vs Spezia | 2–1 |
| 2020-12-05 | Spezia vs Lazio | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Spezia vs Lazio?
- Tofiko's model favours Lazio (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia vs Lazio kick off?
- Fri, 14 Apr 2023 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Spezia vs Lazio head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.