Leccevs
SpeziaLecce 0-0 Spezia — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 21 May 2023 10:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lecce55%
- Lecce 55%
- Draw 25%
- Spezia 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lecce, rating it at 54.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Lecce won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Lecce: LWLWW
Spezia: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 0.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-21 | Lecce vs Spezia | 0–0 |
| 2023-01-08 | Spezia vs Lecce | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Lecce vs Spezia?
- Tofiko's model favours Lecce (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lecce vs Spezia kick off?
- Sun, 21 May 2023 10:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Lecce vs Spezia head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.00 goals per game.