Spezia Calciovs
AC MonzaSpezia Calcio vs AC Monza Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie BSat, 07 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Spezia Calcio 4–2 AC Monza
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza44%
- Spezia Calcio 30%
- Draw 26%
- AC Monza 44%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 44.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Spezia Calcio won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Spezia Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Spezia Calcio: DDDLW
AC Monza: LWWLW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Spezia Calcio vs AC Monza | 4–2 |
| 2025-11-02 | AC Monza vs Spezia Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-28 | Spezia vs A.C. Monza | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-09 | A.C. Monza vs Spezia | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Spezia Calcio vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia Calcio vs AC Monza kick off?
- Sat, 07 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Spezia Calcio vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.