Speziavs
NapoliSpezia 0-3 Napoli — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 05 Feb 2023 11:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Napoli70%
- Spezia 11%
- Draw 19%
- Napoli 70%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Napoli, rating it at 70.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Spezia won 2 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Spezia: WWDWD
Napoli: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-05 | Spezia vs Napoli | 0–3 |
| 2022-09-10 | Napoli vs Spezia | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-22 | Spezia vs Napoli | 0–3 |
| 2021-12-22 | Napoli vs Spezia | 0–1 |
| 2021-05-08 | Spezia vs Napoli | 1–4 |
| 2021-01-06 | Napoli vs Spezia | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Spezia vs Napoli?
- Tofiko's model favours Napoli (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia vs Napoli kick off?
- Sun, 05 Feb 2023 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the Spezia vs Napoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.