US Sassuolo Calciovs
SpeziaUS Sassuolo Calcio 1-0 Spezia — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2022-2023Fri, 17 Mar 2023 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Sassuolo Calcio64%
- US Sassuolo Calcio 64%
- Draw 20%
- Spezia 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick US Sassuolo Calcio, rating it at 63.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and US Sassuolo Calcio won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
US Sassuolo Calcio: DWLWL
Spezia: WWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 83%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-17 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Spezia | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-27 | Spezia vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–2 |
| 2022-03-18 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Spezia | 4–1 |
| 2021-12-05 | Spezia vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–2 |
| 2021-02-06 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Spezia | 1–2 |
| 2020-09-27 | Spezia(N) vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win US Sassuolo Calcio vs Spezia?
- Tofiko's model favours US Sassuolo Calcio (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Sassuolo Calcio vs Spezia kick off?
- Fri, 17 Mar 2023 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
- What is the US Sassuolo Calcio vs Spezia head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.