Spezia Calciovs
Venezia FCSpezia Calcio vs Venezia FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie BFri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Spezia Calcio 2–2 Venezia FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Venezia FC56%
- Spezia Calcio 21%
- Draw 23%
- Venezia FC 56%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Venezia FC, rating it at 56.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Spezia Calcio won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Venezia FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Spezia Calcio: DDDLW
Venezia FC: LWWWW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Spezia Calcio vs Venezia FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Venezia FC vs Spezia Calcio | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-10 | Spezia vs Venezia F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-15 | Venezia F.C. vs Spezia | 1–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | Spezia vs Venezia F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2021-09-19 | Venezia F.C. vs Spezia | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Spezia Calcio vs Venezia FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Venezia FC (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Spezia Calcio vs Venezia FC kick off?
- Fri, 01 May 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Spezia Calcio vs Venezia FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.