Venezia FCvs
Empoli FCVenezia FC vs Empoli FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie BSat, 25 Apr 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Venezia FC 2–0 Empoli FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Venezia FC56%
- Venezia FC 56%
- Draw 23%
- Empoli FC 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Venezia FC, rating it at 56.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Venezia FC won 1 of 8, with 5 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Venezia FC's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Empoli FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Venezia FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Venezia FC: LWWWW
Empoli FC: DWDWL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Venezia FC vs Empoli FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Empoli FC vs Venezia FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Empoli FC vs Venezia FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-01-04 | Venezia FC vs Empoli FC | 1–1 |
| 2022-01-16 | Venezia F.C. vs Empoli | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-11 | Empoli vs Venezia F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2021-02-26 | Empoli vs Venezia F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2020-11-01 | Venezia F.C. vs Empoli | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Venezia FC vs Empoli FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Venezia FC (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Venezia FC vs Empoli FC kick off?
- Sat, 25 Apr 2026 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the Venezia FC vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.