Spezia crestSpeziavsFiorentina crestFiorentina

Spezia 1-2 Fiorentina — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2022-2023Sun, 30 Oct 2022 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Fiorentina55%

Tofiko23% / 23% / 55%
Market22% / 25% / 52%
  • Spezia
  • Draw
  • Fiorentina

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Fiorentina, rating it at 54.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Spezia won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Spezia: WWWWW

Fiorentina: DWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 83%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-04-08Fiorentina vs Spezia1–1
2022-10-30Spezia vs Fiorentina1–2
2022-02-14Spezia vs Fiorentina1–2
2021-10-31Fiorentina vs Spezia3–0
2021-02-19Fiorentina vs Spezia3–0
2020-10-18Spezia(N) vs Fiorentina2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Spezia vs Fiorentina?
Tofiko's model favours Fiorentina (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Spezia vs Fiorentina kick off?
Sun, 30 Oct 2022 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2022-2023.
What is the Spezia vs Fiorentina head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legFiorentina 1-1 Spezia8 Apr 2023 →