1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 07 Mar 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 2–4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Tofiko prediction
Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim48%
- 1. FC Heidenheim 30%
- Draw 22%
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 48%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 47.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.17Avg goals
- 83%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–4 |
| 2025-10-25 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-09 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Heidenheim | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0–0 |
| 2024-01-27 | Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-26 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Hoffenheim | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
- Sat, 07 Mar 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.