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1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC HeidenheimvsTSG 1899 Hoffenheim crestTSG 1899 Hoffenheim

1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 07 Mar 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Tofiko prediction

Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim48%

1. FC Heidenheim 30%
Draw 22%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 48%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 30%
  • Draw 22%
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 48%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 47.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and 1. FC Heidenheim won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: WWWLW

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 3.17Avg goals
  • 83%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-071. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim2–4
2025-10-25TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Heidenheim3–1
2025-03-09TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Heidenheim1–1
2024-10-271. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0–0
2024-01-27Hoffenheim vs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461–1
2023-08-261. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Hoffenheim2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
Sat, 07 Mar 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1. FC Heidenheim vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.17 goals per game.

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