1. FC Union Berlinvs
Borussia Dortmund1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund54%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 54.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Borussia Dortmund's 5 produced 19, at 3.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW
Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 6–0 |
| 2024-10-05 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-02 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–2 |
| 2023-04-08 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 |
| 2022-02-13 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–3 |
| 2021-09-19 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.