1. FC Union Berlinvs
Borussia Dortmund1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund54%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 20%
- Draw 26%
- Borussia Dortmund 54%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 54.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Union Berlin: LLDLD
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 6–0 |
| 2024-10-05 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-02 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–2 |
| 2023-04-08 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 |
| 2022-02-13 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–3 |
| 2021-09-19 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.