1. FC Union Berlinvs
Borussia Dortmund1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Borussia Dortmund to win53%
1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 53%.
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1. FC Union Berlin or draw47%
- Draw or Borussia Dortmund76%
- 1. FC Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- 1. FC Union Berlin, last 10 home games8 of 10
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
1. FC Union Berlin: WWLLL
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 6–0 |
| 2024-10-05 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-02 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2023-10-07 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–2 |
| 2023-04-08 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-16 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–0 |
| 2022-02-13 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–3 |
| 2021-09-19 | Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 4–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.