FC Schalke 04vs
1.FSV Mainz 05FC Schalke 04 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0555%
- FC Schalke 04
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 55.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Schalke 04 won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. FC Schalke 04's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Schalke 04: DWDLD
1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-05 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04 | 2–3 |
| 2022-11-09 | Schalke 04 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 |
| 2021-03-05 | Schalke 04 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–0 |
| 2020-11-07 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04 | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Schalke 04 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Schalke 04 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.