Bayer 04 Leverkusenvs
SC FreiburgBayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSun, 18 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win60%
1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 60%.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Draw
- SC Freiburg
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw81%
- Draw or SC Freiburg40%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SC Freiburg79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.562%
- Under 2.538%
Both teams to score
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 home games4 of 10
- SC Freiburg, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 59.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
SC Freiburg: WWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-04 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 5–1 |
| 2024-03-17 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2023-10-29 | Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-26 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 2–3 |
| 2022-05-14 | Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-19 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.